Ann Wigmore Memorial i Vilnius September 2013

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While the argument that the ICC proedecings against the Kenyan suspects acts as a deterrent to impunity in political violence may be valid, the assertion that the process may also serve to remove' instigators of violelence from the political scene may be far fetched.Uhuru Kenyatta, who continues to serve as the country's deputy Prime Minister and occupies the powerful finance ministry, has just been decalred by Forbes magazine as the richest man in Kenya and ranked 26th wealthiest African. His political clout and influence cannot be underestmated. He ejoys the support of President Mwai Kibaki from the populous Kikuyu ethnic group as his apparent heir. Furthermore, Uhuru has declared that whether the charges against him at the ICC are confirmed or not, he would still run for the presidency in 2012.His co-accused, William Rutto, who holds sway in the expansive Rift-Valley province has also affirmed his intention to vie for the country's top seat despite the Hague proedecings and has promised to delay the confirmation process with numerous apeals.However reprehensible, the facts on the ground supported by periodic opinion polls indicate that both Rutto and Uhuru enjoy massive grass-roots support among the Kenyan electorate. They further claim that the country's new constitution would not bar them from running for office unless and until they are found guilty- this could be a long way off judging by the speed of the ICC trials so far. A joint presidential ticket featuring the two with the backing of seven of the major tribes in Kenya (the G7 alliance already mooted) would be an almost unstoppable force in Kenyan politics.My analysis as a Kenyan political scientist and keen observer is that the reality on the ground is much more complicated and less predictable than such neat analyses as this blog may suggest.

Yay you are going and you have about 4 weeks to prepare!! You go girl and we can't wait to watch. Can't wait to see her room, hear her name, watch you traevl, see the first pictures of the family of 4 and to hopefully meet your girls sometime this fall:)So happy for you and the best is yet to come!!!!hugs from us((((()))))